Tuesday, August 30, 2011

Going to test 1250 methinks

We have finally cleared 1200 and it now appears that we are very likely to test the 1250 area on the ES corresponding to the backside of the long term trendline and the 200 day MA. From looking at the various asset classes it would now appear that some sort of stimulus action is being priced into the Sept FOMC meeting (as risk appetite is back) and thus if you were short, you just don't want to hold going into it. Could be another buy the rumour sell the fact play coming up. The announcement will occur on the 22nd of September for those wondering. Over in Europe things have quietened down and there has been a rally in the credit markets so the fear has definitely subsided.

Under the hood, market internals were very strong yesterday with cumulative ticks finishing at +140,000, however volume was extremely low when compared to the 30 day median (running about 35% lower).

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